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Opinion Polling

What do voters in Northern Ireland think about the Protocol... and, since February 2023, the Windsor Framework?

Here we publish reports and analyses from the project's regular opinion poll survey of attitudes to the Protocol in Northern Ireland/Windsor Framework.

As part of the project we are interested in 'temperature testing' public opinion on the Protocol/Windsor Framework and have commissioned LucidTalk to conduct regular surveys to determine attitudes on a range of issues relating to the Protocol/Windsor Framework and its implications for Northern Ireland. The surveys are being conducted every four months during 2021-2024 using LucidTalk’s online NI Opinion Panel. 

Latest Report

Past Reports


Related Analysis

Phinnemore, D. 'Where Northern Ireland Voters Generally Agree: Stakeholder Engagement on the Protocol/Windsor Framework', UK in a Changing Europe, 26 July 2023

Hayward, K. and Phinnemore D. 'How will a UK-EU deal land in Northern Ireland?' UK in a Changing Europe, 24 February 2023 

Hayward, K. and Phinnemore D. 'Will the DUP sink a new attempt at stability in Northern Ireland?', Prospect, 22 February 2023

Hayward, K. and Phinnemore D. 'What do people in Northern Ireland really think about the Protocol?', Heinrich Böll Stiftung, 10 May 2022

Phinnemore, D. and Hayward, K. 'What does the Northern Irish public think about the Protocol?UK in a Changing Europe, 5 May 2022

Hayward, K. and Phinnemore, D. 'Do you understand the Protocol, and does it really matter anyway?', Belfast Telegraph, 24 February 2022

Hayward, K. and Phinnemore, D. 'What does the Northern Irish Public Think About the Protocol?, in Menon, A. et al (eds) British Politics after BrexitUK in a Changing Europe, London, 22 February 2022, pp. 76-79

Hayward, K. and Phinnemore, D. 'Polling on the protocol: Westminster is a long way from Northern Ireland', New Statesman, 2 December 2021

Hayward, K. and Phinnemore, D. 'Northern Ireland voters and the Protocol', UK in a Changing Europe, 23 April 2021

Phinnemore, D. and Hayward, K. 'Crisis of confidence: Government has a lot to do to win back our trust', Belfast Telegraph, 21 April 2021

Hayward, K. and Phinnemore, D. 'People across Northern Ireland fear that the protocol will damage political stability', The Guardian, 21 April 2021


Data Tables

2021 March TTT1: Data Tables 2022 February TTT4: Data Tables 2023 February TTT7: Data Tables 2024 February TTT10: Data Tables
  June  TTT2: Data Tables   June  TTT5: Data Tables   April TTT-Extra: Data Tables   June TTT11: Data Tables
  October TTT3: Data Tables    October TTT6: Data Tables   June TTT8: Data Tables      
              October TTT9: Data Tables